Heat vs. Wizards Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for March 10

Heat vs. Wizards Game Info

• Date: Tuesday, March 10, 2026
• Time: 7:30 p.m. ET
• Venue: Kaseya Center -- Miami, Florida
• Coverage: FDSSUN and MNMT

The Miami Heat (36-29) host the Washington Wizards (16-47) after winning five straight home games. The Heat are heavy favorites by 15.5 points in the matchup, which begins at 7:30 p.m. ET on Tuesday, March 10, 2026. The matchup's over/under is 242.5.

Heat vs. Wizards Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Heat vs. Wizards Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Heat win (86.8%)

Heat vs. Wizards Betting Trends

• The Heat are 39-25-1 against the spread this season.
• The Wizards have 26 wins against the spread in 63 games this season.
• This season, 35 of the Heat's games have gone over the point total out of 63 chances.
• Wizards games this year have gone over the total in 33 of 63 opportunities (52.4%).
• Against the spread, Miami has performed worse when playing at home, covering 19 times in 32 home games, and 20 times in 33 road games.
• Looking at point totals, the Heat hit the over less consistently at home, as they've gone over the total 17 times in 32 opportunities this season (53.1%). In road games, they have hit the over 18 times in 33 opportunities (54.5%).
• Washington has been better against the spread at home (16-17-0) than on the road (10-20-0) this season.
• Wizards games have finished above the over/under 51.5% of the time at home (17 of 33), and 53.3% of the time away (16 of 30).

Heat Leaders

• Bam Adebayo is averaging 18.9 points, 9.8 boards and 2.9 assists. Defensively, he averages 1.1 steals and 0.7 blocked shots.
• Jaime Jaquez Jr. is averaging 15.3 points, 4.6 assists and 5.3 boards.
• Kel'el Ware averages 11.4 points, 9.3 boards and 0.5 assists, shooting 53.5% from the floor and 39% from beyond the arc, with 1.1 made 3-pointers per contest.
• Davion Mitchell averages 8.8 points, 2.6 boards and 6.8 assists, shooting 47.6% from the floor and 42% from beyond the arc, with 1.2 made treys per contest.
• Pelle Larsson is averaging 10.4 points, 3.4 boards and 3.4 assists.

Wizards Leaders

• Per game, Alex Sarr gets the Wizards 16.9 points, 7.7 rebounds and 2.8 assists. He also averages 0.8 steals and 2 blocks.
• Bub Carrington averages 9.8 points, 3.6 boards and 4.5 assists. He is also draining 39.6% of his shots from the floor and 39.3% from 3-point range, with 2 triples per game.
• Per game, Justin Champagnie gives the Wizards 8.1 points, 5.6 boards and 1.1 assists, plus 0.8 steals and 0.7 blocks.
• Per game, Tre Johnson gives the Wizards 12.6 points, 2.8 boards and 2 assists, plus 0.6 steals and 0.3 blocks.
• The Wizards are receiving 10.4 points, 4.3 boards and 2.5 assists per game from Bilal Coulibaly.

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