Florida vs Vanderbilt College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for SEC Tournament

The No. 1 seed Florida Gators (26-6, 16-2 SEC) head into the SEC tournament against the No. 4 seed Vanderbilt Commodores (25-7, 11-7 SEC) on Saturday at Bridgestone Arena, tipping off at 1 p.m. ET.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Florida vs. Vanderbilt Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Saturday, March 14, 2026
• Game time: 1 p.m. ET
• TV channel: ESPN
• Location: Nashville, Tennessee
• Arena: Bridgestone Arena

Florida vs. Vanderbilt Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Florida win (69.4%)

Before making a wager on Saturday's Florida-Vanderbilt spread (Florida -8.5) or total (160.5 points), take a look at the betting trends and insights below.

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Florida vs. Vanderbilt: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Florida has won 19 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 13 times.
• Vanderbilt has won 17 games against the spread this year, while failing to cover 15 times.
• The Gators have covered the spread in a lower percentage of their home games than road games. They have covered seven times in 15 games at home, and they've covered nine times in 10 games when playing on the road.
• Against the spread, the Commodores have an identical winning percentage (.500) at home (8-8-0 record) and on the road (6-6-0).
• Florida has beaten the spread 14 times in 19 conference games.
• Vanderbilt has nine wins against the spread in 19 SEC games this season.

Florida vs. Vanderbilt: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Florida has won in 22, or 84.6%, of the 26 contests it has been named as the moneyline favorite in this year.
• This year, the Gators have won 16 of 18 games when listed as at least -400 or better on the moneyline.
• Vanderbilt has gone 3-3 in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 50% of those games).
• The Commodores have yet to play a game with moneyline odds of +310 or longer.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Florida has a 80% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Florida vs. Vanderbilt Head-to-Head Comparison

• Florida is outscoring opponents by 15.8 points per game with a +505 scoring differential overall. It puts up 87.2 points per game (12th in college basketball) and gives up 71.4 per contest (111th in college basketball).
• Florida's leading scorer, Thomas Haugh, ranks 156th in college basketball averaging 17 points per game.
• Vanderbilt puts up 86.6 points per game (13th in college basketball) while allowing 74.9 per outing (213th in college basketball). It has a +373 scoring differential and outscores opponents by 11.7 points per game.
• Tyler leads Vanderbilt, averaging 19.2 points per game (51st in college basketball).
• The Gators rank first in the country at 42.4 rebounds per game. That's 15.2 more than the 27.2 their opponents average.
• Rueben Chinyelu tops the team with 11.7 rebounds per game (second in college basketball play).
• The Commodores are 136th in the nation at 32.6 rebounds per game. That's 1.3 more than the 31.3 their opponents average.
• Devin's 6.8 rebounds per game lead the Commodores and rank 181st in the nation.
• Florida ranks 37th in college basketball by averaging 104.8 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively is 13th in college basketball, allowing 85.8 points per 100 possessions.
• The Commodores average 107.9 points per 100 possessions on offense (16th in college basketball), and allow 93.4 points per 100 possessions (128th in college basketball).

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