Florida vs Mississippi State College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for March 3

The Mississippi State Bulldogs (13-16, 5-11 SEC) will attempt to stop a three-game losing streak when they hit the road to take on the Florida Gators (23-6, 14-2 SEC) on March 3, 2026 at Exactech Arena at the Stephen C. O'Connell Center.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Florida vs. Mississippi State Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Tuesday, March 3, 2026
• Game time: 8 p.m. ET
• TV channel: SEC Network
• Location: Gainesville, Florida
• Arena: Exactech Arena at the Stephen C. O'Connell Center

Florida vs. Mississippi State Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Florida win (96.4%)

Here's a look at some betting trends for Florida (-20.5) versus Mississippi State on Tuesday. The total has been set at 160.5 points for this game.

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Florida vs. Mississippi State: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Florida is 17-12-0 ATS this season.
• Mississippi State has compiled a 10-19-0 ATS record so far this year.
• Against the spread, the Gators have performed worse at home, covering six times in 14 home games, and eight times in nine road games.
• The Bulldogs have been better against the spread away (5-4-0) than at home (4-11-0) this year.
• Against the spread, in conference action, Florida is 12-4-0 this season.
• Mississippi State is 6-10-0 against the spread in SEC action this season.

Florida vs. Mississippi State: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Florida has been the moneyline favorite in 23 games this season and has come away with the win 19 times (82.6%) in those contests.
• The Gators have been listed as a favorite of -4545 or more on two occasions this season and won both games.
• Mississippi State has compiled a 4-11 record in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 26.7% of those games).
• The Bulldogs have never played a game this season with moneyline odds of +1600 or longer.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Florida has a 97.8% chance of walking away with the win.

Florida vs. Mississippi State Head-to-Head Comparison

• Florida has a +456 scoring differential, topping opponents by 15.7 points per game. It is putting up 87.1 points per game to rank 12th in college basketball and is giving up 71.4 per contest to rank 112th in college basketball.
• Thomas Haugh's 17.1 points per game lead Florida and rank 151st in the nation.
• Mississippi State's -76 scoring differential (being outscored by 2.6 points per game) is a result of putting up 77.7 points per game (138th in college basketball) while allowing 80.3 per outing (335th in college basketball).
• Josh Hubbard is ranked 12th in the nation with a team-leading 21.4 points per game.
• The Gators grab 42.2 rebounds per game (first in college basketball) while conceding 27.1 per contest to their opponents. They outrebound opponents by 15.1 boards per game.
• Rueben Chinyelu paces the team with 11.7 rebounds per game (first in college basketball play).
• The Bulldogs rank 31st in the country at 35.8 rebounds per game. That's similar to the 35.1 their opponents average.
• Achor Achor tops the team with 6.4 rebounds per game (229th in college basketball).
• Florida ranks 42nd in college basketball by averaging 104.8 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively is 18th in college basketball, allowing 85.9 points per 100 possessions.
• The Bulldogs average 94.9 points per 100 possessions on offense (243rd in college basketball), and give up 98.1 points per 100 possessions (267th in college basketball).

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