Florida vs Arkansas College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Feb. 28

The Florida Gators (22-6, 13-2 SEC) will attempt to continue an eight-game winning streak when they host the Arkansas Razorbacks (21-7, 11-4 SEC) on February 28, 2026 at Exactech Arena at the Stephen C. O'Connell Center.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Florida vs. Arkansas Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Saturday, February 28, 2026
• Game time: 8:30 p.m. ET
• TV channel: ESPN
• Location: Gainesville, Florida
• Arena: Exactech Arena at the Stephen C. O'Connell Center

Florida vs. Arkansas Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Florida win (77.3%)

Check out the betting insights and trends below before making a bet on Saturday's Florida-Arkansas spread (Florida -9.5) or total (170.5 points).

Sign up for FanDuel Sportsbook and FanDuel Daily Fantasy today!

Florida vs. Arkansas: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Florida is 16-12-0 ATS this season.
• Arkansas has put together a 19-9-0 ATS record so far this year.
• Florida (7-10) covers a lower percentage of games when it is favored by 9.5 points or more this season (41.2%) than Arkansas (1-0) does as a 9.5+-point underdog (100%).
• The Gators have covered the spread in a lower percentage of their home games than road games. They have covered five times in 13 games at home, and they've covered eight times in nine games when playing on the road.
• In 2025-26 against the spread, the Razorbacks have a better winning percentage at home (.688, 11-5-0 record) than away (.625, 5-3-0).
• Florida is 11-4-0 against the spread in conference action this year.
• Arkansas has 10 wins against the spread in 15 SEC games this year.

Florida vs. Arkansas: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Florida has been chosen as the moneyline favorite in 22 games this year and has walked away with the win 18 times (81.8%) in those games.
• This year, the Gators have won 11 of 13 games when listed as at least -599 or better on the moneyline.
• Arkansas has won two of the eight games it was listed as the moneyline underdog this season (25%).
• The Razorbacks have played as a moneyline underdog of +430 or longer in just one game this season, which they lost.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Florida has a 85.7% chance of walking away with the win.

Florida vs. Arkansas Head-to-Head Comparison

• Florida averages 86.3 points per game (16th in college basketball) while allowing 71.2 per outing (104th in college basketball). It has a +422 scoring differential overall and outscores opponents by 15.1 points per game.
• Thomas Haugh's team-leading 16.9 points per game ranks 163rd in the country.
• Arkansas is outscoring opponents by 11.8 points per game, with a +328 scoring differential overall. It puts up 90.3 points per game (fourth in college basketball) and gives up 78.5 per contest (303rd in college basketball).
• Darius Acuff Jr. is eighth in the nation with a team-high 22.2 points per game.
• The Gators rank first in the nation at 42.0 rebounds per game. That's 14.9 more than the 27.1 their opponents average.
• Rueben Chinyelu averages 11.6 rebounds per game (ranking second in college basketball) to lead the Gators.
• The 32.3 rebounds per game the Razorbacks accumulate rank 164th in college basketball, 1.2 more than the 31.1 their opponents pull down.
• Trevon Brazile averages 7.1 rebounds per game (146th in college basketball) to lead the Razorbacks.
• Florida averages 104.3 points per 100 possessions on offense (45th in college basketball), and allows 86.0 points per 100 possessions (20th in college basketball).
• The Razorbacks rank fifth in college basketball averaging 109.9 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 201st, allowing 95.6 points per 100 possessions.

Sign up for FanDuel Sportsbook and FanDuel Daily Fantasy today!