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FanDuel Daily Fantasy Baseball Helper: Tuesday 8/1/23

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FanDuel Daily Fantasy Baseball Helper: Tuesday 8/1/23

This year's best DFS pitcher is starting tonight, but pairing him with the top Coors Field bats could be difficult. Some tough decisions will need to be made.

There are some weather concerns in Denver once again, but given that they stuck it out yesterday and played, that might be less of a concern this time around. Luckily, there's no shortage of high-upside alternatives for offense if we want to look elsewhere.

Our daily fantasy helper is available every day to analyze FanDuel's main slate and help give you a starting point when you're building lineups.

Be sure to also incorporate numberFire's great tools into your research process, including daily projections, the latest starting lineups and weather, and batting and pitching heat maps to find the best matchups.

Let's check out the top options on today's main slate.

Pitching Breakdown

It's a Spencer Strider ($11,300) slate, so you know where we're starting at pitcher.

Strider continues to lead all qualified starters with an absurd 39.6% strikeout rate, and whether you prefer SIERA, xFIP, or K-BB%, he leads the way in all those categories, too.

The Los Angeles Angels already had trade acquistions C.J. Cron and Randal Grichuk in the lineup yesterday and their active roster now boasts a .208 ISO versus right-handed pitching. While that could prove troublesome for Strider, who does let up his share of home runs off a 46.5% fly-ball rate, the Angels also own a 23.9% strikeout rate in the split.

The 24-year-old has amassed nine or more punchouts in seven straight starts, and there's little reason we shouldn't expect more of the same tonight.

Considering the high floor and ceiling that Strider's strikeouts provide, he's pretty much a lock in cash games and a fantastic play for tournament lineups that can accommodate his salary. If he can keep the ball in the park against the Angels, the sky is the limit.

Oddly enough, the next-best option might be a guy with a 6.47 ERA.

As you probably guessed, I'm referring to Lance Lynn ($9,400), who's struggled mightily with the long ball this year but still possesses enough strikeout ability to be viable in DFS. Hiding underneath that bloated ERA is an encouraging 3.90 SIERA and 26.9% K rate, so there's a good pitcher still in there somewhere.

A change in scenery to the contending Los Angeles Dodgers can't hurt Lynn's outlook moving forward, and there's always a chance their staff is able to find ways to improve the right-hander's results.

More important, though, is the fact that Lynn is facing the Oakland Athletics. Against righties, the A's active roster has posted an 86 wRC+, .154 ISO, and 24.5% strikeout rate.

As noted in previous helpers, Lynn's stark splits make facing lefty-heavy lineups an issue, but that should be less of a problem against an Oakland team that typically has a near-even split of lefties and righties. Outside of perhaps Seth Brown, the A's also lack the kind of left-handed power that can truly punish Lynn's home run woes, too.

At a significantly lower salary than Strider, Lynn gives us much more flexibility for our bats, and this is the type of matchup he could excel in.

Zac Gallen ($10,600), Pablo Lopez ($10,500), Freddy Peralta ($10,300), and Framber Valdez ($10,000) are others to have on the radar as strong pitchers in questionable matchups.

Gallen and Lopez face tough offenses, whereas Peralta and Valdez get low-strikeout opponents. Therefore, for upside, I lean toward Gallen and Lopez. Note that Lopez's strikeout rate versus righties (33.5%) is significantly higher than lefties (26.7%), so a predominantly right-handed St. Louis Cardinals lineup would bump him up.

I suppose Carlos Rodon ($7,900) deserves a shout as a value play, but generally poor results alongside a 16.7% strikeout rate and 13.3% walk rate haven't inspired confidence over four starts. If we're going to point to any areas of encouragement, it's that his velocity is where it should be, and his 12.4% swinging-strike rate shows that he's still missing bats.

The Tampa Bay Rays are coming off a modest month at the plate, but given their overall success this year, they would hardly constitute as a plus matchup for the lefty. The Rays' 4.02 implied team total remains on the lower side, though, and given Rodon's prior track record, he may still be worth sprinkling into some lineups.

Hitting Breakdown

The San Diego Padres didn't go nuts at the plate last night, but the game did play, which is promising on another dicey weather night in Colorado. That's important when we see that they have a downright silly 7.17 implied team total.

Peter Lambert will take the mound for the Colorado Rockies, and his 4.87 xERA and 44.8% Statcast hard-hit rate point to a guy who's really struggled with hard contact this year. A reliever for most of the year, Lambert actually hasn't allowed an earned run over his three July starts -- but a 13.2% strikeout rate over that span suggests that it could be short-lived.

Lambert has allowed much a higher rate of fly balls (48.6%) and dingers (2.28 per nine innings) to righties, so Fernando Tatis Jr. ($4,500) and Manny Machado ($4,000) are at the top of the wish list again. Juan Soto ($4,100) is always dangerous with the platoon advantage.

Beyond those usual three, it probably comes down to more who you can fit in, with guys like Jake Cronenworth ($3,200), Luis Campusano ($3,100), and Trent Grisham ($3,200) being some of the more appealing lower-salaried options.

The A's haven't officially announced their starter yet, but the Los Angeles Dodgers are expected to face lefty Ken Waldichuk as a starter or bulk reliever, who has a 5.02 SIERA, 21.1% strikeout rate, 12.8% walk rate, and 40.1% ground-ball rate this season. He's been knocked around by both sides of the plate, too. Beyond the Dodgers' stars, Chris Taylor ($2,800) might get a start in the heart of the order against the lefty.

The Atlanta Braves are showing a high implied team total again (5.37), and they should be able to take advantage of left-hander Patrick Sandoval. While Sandoval is someone who's consistently limited home runs over his career, he's otherwise showing a middling 4.70 SIERA, 18.8% strikeout rate, and 9.5% walk rate this season.

The southpaw might be good at suppressing power, but it's a whole different story when that opposing team's active roster owns a league-high .245 ISO versus lefties. The Braves are in a good spot to bounce back after disappointing last night.

The New York Mets and Texas Rangers are other teams in standout matchups. The Mets won't have a problem making contact against Zack Greinke (15.5% strikeout rate), and they have pretty low salaries outside of Pete Alonso ($4,200) and Francisco Lindor ($3,800). Right-hander Jesse Scholtens probably won't be out there very long versus Texas, but a 5.10 SIERA and 14.5% strikeout rate point to some serious regression coming his way.


The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.

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