College Football Betting Picks for Saturday 11/11/23

Undoubtedly, CFB Week 11 looks to be one of the best schedules yet.

This Saturday offers no less than four matchups between CFP Top-25 teams. In the early window, the No. 3 Michigan Wolverines will visit the No. 10 Penn State Nittany Lions. Naturally, the College Football Playoff picture could be shifted significantly by the contest in Happy Valley.

From there, it will be a crowded afternoon slate. In Seattle, the No. 5 Washington Huskies and No. 18 Utah Utes will get together. At that same time, the No. 13 Tennessee Volunteers will play at the No. 14 Missouri Tigers.

Kicking off at 7 p.m. ET in Athens, the No. 9 Mississippi Rebels will try their collective hands at the defending champs -- can they take down the No. 2 Georgia Bulldogs between the hedges?

No time to waste: let's dive into Saturday's college football schedule with an emphasis on scoping out the most valuable lines in traditional betting markets.

All college football odds via FanDuel Sportsbook. Lines may change after this article is published.

College Football Betting Picks (11/11/23)

(#18) Utah Utes at (#5) Washington Huskies

• Time: 3:30 p.m. ET
• TV: FOX
• Spread: WASH -9.5
• Moneyline: UTAH +265/WASH -330
• Total: 49.5

As the Huskies embark through the toughest stretch on their Pac-12 schedule, they'll need to get through Utah as well as the No. 12 Oregon State Beavers in the next two weeks if they hope to crack the CFP top four. In this Saturday's matchup with the Utes, UDub is both the more talented side and on home turf.

Looking at numberFire's power rankings, Washington (21.34 nERD) shows up 10th in FBS while Utah (15.32 nERD) is slotted 18th. Additionally, the Huskies are considerably better on offense, scoring a whopping 41.7 PPG this season. The Utes' scoring clip is much lower at 25 PPG.

Much of Washington's offensive prowess has come from the left arm of current Heisman favorite Michael Penix Jr. At FanDuel Sportsbook, the Husky quarterback shows +140 odds to win college football's most prestigious individual award. In 2023, Penix has already tossed 26 touchdowns on a 69.4% completition clip.

Best Bet: Washington -9.5 (-110)

I think the Huskies will roll in Seattle a week before being tasked with traveling to Corvallis. Utah's defense is respectable, allowing only 15.9 PPG this season. However, I don't see the Utes hanging with Penix and his two favorite targets: receivers Rome Odunze and Ja'lynn Polk. The dynamic wideouts have each scored at least eight touchdowns in 2023 while also producing north of 17 yards per reception.

In two of the past three weeks, Utah has been more porous against two of CFB's elite offenses. Versus the USC Trojans and Oregon Ducks, the Utes surrendered an average of 34.5 PPG. Simply, I think the Dawgs go for more at Husky Stadium this Saturday.

Utah is a quality side, no doubt. However, I don't think head coach Kyle Whittingham's current group is up to the task against Washington. With UDub laying fewer than double-digits (-9.5) at home, I am on the Huskies against the spread (ATS).

(#13) Tennessee Volunteers at (#14) Missouri Tigers

• Time: 3:30 p.m. ET
• TV: CBS
• Spread: TENN -1.5
• Moneyline: TENN -125/MIZ +104
• Total: 57.5

With both schools approaching this matchup in Columbia at 7-2 overall, Tennessee and Missouri should give us a doozy. Essentially, this Saturday will definitively highlight which team is second-best in the SEC East.

The Volunteers will arrive at Mizzou on a two-game winning streak, the most recent of which was a 59-3 beatdown over the Connecticut Huskies. The Tigers are fresh off their second loss of the season; they are coming from Athens where they put up a respectable effort against UGA, falling 30-21.

If this contest were to be played at Rocky Top, my confidence would be with Tennessee, but that is not the case. At Missouri, I think the Tigers will make Saturday's affair a close contest. Keep in mind that the Volunteers just played one of the worst football schools in the country (UConn carries a -16.01 nERD) while Mizzou is returning home from Georgia (19.64 nERD).

Best Bet: Missouri ML (+104)

Genuinely, I think this one has the makings for an upset. Mind you, the Tigers are no steep underdog here, showing the short plus-money number of +104 to defeat Tennessee at home. Mizzou quarterback Brady Cook is experienced and consistent, yielding a 77.4 QBR as a senior.

I see Cook and the Tigers returning closer to their average scoring clip of 32.4 PPG. Undoubtedly, Cook will look for his top target Luther Burden. The sophomore receiver is approaching 1,000 yards on the year and has found the end zone seven times already. Burden is also a finalist for the Fred Biletnikoff Award; he has the third-best odds in the market at FanDuel Sportsbook.

I respect the Volunteers, as they are a solid overall team. However, in terms of scoring, neither Tennessee's offense nor their defense ranks within the top 20. With that, I like a fired-up Missouri team to pull off the upset at home.

(#15) Oklahoma State Cowboys at UCF Knights

• Time: 3:30 p.m. ET
• TV: ESPN
• Spread: OKST -2.5 (-114)
• Moneyline: OKST -134/UCF +112
• Total: 65.5 (-105/-115)

Riding high after a victory in what could be the final rendition of Bedlam, the No. 15 Oklahoma State Cowboys will hit the road this weekend. Up next, OK State will head to Orlando for a battle with the Central Florida Knights. Certainly, this game will be more adversarial than just your day at Disney World.

As mentioned, the Cowboys outlasted the Oklahoma Sooners last Saturday, 27-24. It was the fifth consecutive win for Mike Gundy's bunch. For UCF, they are returning to the "Sunshine State" after winning at the Cincinnati Bearcats. The victory snapped a five-game losing streak for the Knights.

Central Florida can score with the best of them (32.8 PPG), but their defense has not done them many favors this year. I'm not sure how that will hold up against Cowboy tailback Ollie Gordon. With 13 total scores in 2023, Gordon is averaging 136.1 rushing yards per game.

Best Bet: Oklahoma State -2.5 (-114)

The Knights looked like a refreshed team last weekend at Cincy, but I'm not sure they can cover versus No. 15 Oklahoma State. Reflecting back on numberFire's power rankings, the Cowboys land at 23rd overall (13.39 nERD) while UCF is further down at 52nd (3.78 nERD).

To complement Gordon out of the backfield, wide receiver Brennan Presley is another speedy playmaker for OK State. In unison, they have found the end zone 20 times this year. The two show potential to give Central Florida a fair share of fits.

I'll take the Cowboys to cover on the road in this spot. They are the much hotter side entering this weekend and have more talent throughout the program. Additionally, Oklahoma State has been a profitable team in 2023, holding a 6-3 ATS record to this point. With Gundy's squad laying less than a field goal (-2.5), OSU is the side I'm on.

Looking for the latest college football odds? Head over to FanDuel Sportsbook and check out all of the college football betting options.

Sign up for FanDuel Sportsbook and FanDuel Daily Fantasy today!

The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.