Following back-to-back dominant wins by an average margin of 25 points, Duke is searching for their third consecutive win on Monday against NC State. The Wolfpack have been on the opposite end of the spectrum, losing back-to-back games while going 1-3 over the last four contests.

This will be the Blue Devils' final game on the road of the regular season. Duke is only 6-4 in away games compared to 15-2 at home. With Duke favored by only 5.5 points, NC State certainly has a chance of delivering another road loss to the Devils.

According to FanDuel Sportsbook's college basketball odds, Duke is still a decently sized favorite with a -255 moneyline. Is there a path for the Wolfpack to come out with the win? Let's look at the betting odds for tonight's game and identify the best pick for the clash.

All NCAA basketball odds via FanDuel Sportsbook.

Duke-NC State Betting Odds

Betting Odds: Spread, Moneyline and Total

Tipoff: Monday (Mar. 4), 7:00 p.m. ET on ESPN

Spread: Duke -5.5 (-118)

Moneyline:

• Duke: -255
• NC State: +205

Total: 149.5 (-105/-115)

Duke at NC State Matchup Analysis

For the Blue Devils, the defense has really tightened over the last two games, allowing only 53.5 points per game (PPG). However, the two contests were against Louisville (184th in adjusted offensive efficiency) and Virginia (189th), who have two of KenPom's bottom three offenses in the ACC.

NC State is a step up as they total 76.0 PPG (69th percentile) while attempting 40.7 two-pointers per game (86th percentile). Duke's interior defense is pretty much in the middle of the road with 34.9% of opponents' shots labeled as close twos by Bart Torvik. They also rank outside the top 150 in two-point attempts and makes allowed per game (out of 362 teams). Slowing the Wolfpack's paint attack could be a clear concern for tonight's matchup.

The Blue Devils should still have several advantages, though. KenPom's ratings could say enough about this matchup with Duke ranking 7th while NC State is 76th.

Atop the Wolfpack's concerns is attempting to slow the Blue Devils' offense. Duke boasts the 8th-best adjusted offensive efficiency while NC State ranks 82nd in adjusted defensive efficiency. The Devils rank in the 76th percentile in made two-pointers per game, and the Wolfpack are in the bottom 44% in two-point shots allowed per game.

As if this wasn't enough, Duke has been highly efficient from three with a 38.4% shooting percentage (97th percentile). The mark has only improved in recent games with the Blue Devils converting 45.9% of their shots over the last five games. This is another weakness for NC State as they give up a 35.2% three-point percentage (bottom 20%).

Now that the matchup has been laid out, let's look at the best bet for the clash.

Duke at NC State Best Bet

Duke -5.5 (-118)

While the over draws some intrigue with both offenses' matchups, I'm backing Duke to cover the spread. The Blue Devils look to have a long list of advantages on offense from attacking the rim to shooting threes.

I believe Duke's offense will simply be too much in the end. Jeremy Roach (14.1 PPG), Jared McCain (13.3 PPG), and Tyrese Proctor could dominate this matchup. All three guards have been scorching from three-point land. Roach has converted 12 of his last 23 three-point shots (52.2%), McCain drained 7 of his last 14 field goals from deep (50.0%), and Proctor has cashed 8 of his last 17 threes (47.1%).

This could be a recipe for disaster as NC State's backcourt of DJ Horne (0.81), Jayden Taylor (0.81), and Casey Morsell (0.97) all have Defensive Bayesian Performance Ratings (DBPR) of under 1.00, per EvanMiya. Additionally, Proctor (2.11 DBPR) is an exceptional defender who can help slow the Wolfpack's top scorer, Horne (17.6 PPG).

The Blue Devils could completely dominate in the backcourt, and the frontcourt has Kyle Filipowski, who looks to be just fine after the court storming on February 24th as he totaled 21 points in his last outing. Filipowski has EvanMiya's seventh-best Bayesian Performance Rating (BPR) in the nation.

With one of the nation's top players in the frontcourt paired with favorable matchups in the backcourt, Duke could be gearing up for an imposing win tonight as they look to add to their NCAA Tournament resume.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.