Arkansas vs Missouri College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for March 7

SEC play features the Missouri Tigers (20-10, 10-7 SEC) at home against the No. 20 Arkansas Razorbacks (22-8, 12-5 SEC) on Saturday, March 7, 2026 at 12 p.m. ET.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Missouri vs. Arkansas Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Saturday, March 7, 2026
• Game time: 12 p.m. ET
• TV channel: ESPN
• Location: Columbia, Missouri
• Arena: Mizzou Arena

Missouri vs. Arkansas Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Missouri win (56.4%)

Take a look at some betting insights for Missouri (-2.5) versus Arkansas on Saturday. The total is set at 159.5 points for this game.

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Missouri vs. Arkansas: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Missouri has won 14 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 16 times.
• Arkansas has won 20 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 10 times.
• Missouri (6-7) covers a higher percentage of games when it is favored by 2.5 points or more this season (46.2%) than Arkansas (3-5) does as a 2.5+-point underdog (37.5%).
• The Tigers have covered the spread in a lower percentage of their home games than away games. They have covered eight times in 17 games when playing at home, and they've covered six times in 11 games on the road.
• The Razorbacks' winning percentage against the spread at home is .706 (12-5-0). On the road, it is .556 (5-4-0).
• Missouri's record against the spread in conference action is 9-8-0.
• Arkansas has beaten the spread 11 times in 17 SEC games.

Missouri vs. Arkansas: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Missouri has come away with 12 wins in the 15 contests it has been listed as the moneyline favorite in this season.
• This season, the Tigers have been victorious 11 times in 12 chances when named as a favorite of at least -132 or shorter on the moneyline.
• Arkansas has gone 2-7 in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 22.2% of those games).
• The Razorbacks have a 2-7 record (winning just 22.2% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline underdog of +110 or longer.
• Missouri has an implied victory probability of 56.9% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Missouri vs. Arkansas Head-to-Head Comparison

• Missouri outscores opponents by five points per game (scoring 79.8 per game to rank 91st in college basketball while giving up 74.8 per outing to rank 212th in college basketball) and has a +148 scoring differential overall.
• Mark Mitchell is 127th in the country with a team-high 17.4 points per game.
• Arkansas has a +314 scoring differential, topping opponents by 10.5 points per game. It is putting up 90.3 points per game, fourth in college basketball, and is giving up 79.8 per contest to rank 327th in college basketball.
• Darius Acuff Jr.'s team-leading 22.2 points per game rank him eighth in the nation.
• The Tigers pull down 32.1 rebounds per game (174th in college basketball) while allowing 28.6 per contest to their opponents. They outrebound opponents by 3.5 boards per game.
• Mitchell's 5.2 rebounds per game lead the Tigers and rank 513th in college basketball action.
• The 32.1 rebounds per game the Razorbacks accumulate rank 174th in college basketball. Their opponents record 31.6.
• Trevon Brazile is 143rd in the country with 7.1 rebounds per game, leading the Razorbacks.
• Missouri ranks 73rd in college basketball by averaging 102.6 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively is 214th in college basketball, allowing 96.2 points per 100 possessions.
• The Razorbacks rank eighth in college basketball averaging 109.4 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 229th, allowing 96.7 points per 100 possessions.

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