Arizona vs UCF College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Big 12 Tournament

The No. 1 seed Arizona Wildcats (29-2, 16-2 Big 12) square off in the Big 12 tournament against the No. 8 seed UCF Knights (21-10, 9-9 Big 12) on Thursday at T-Mobile Center, tipping off at 3 p.m. ET.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Arizona vs. UCF Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Thursday, March 12, 2026
• Game time: 3 p.m. ET
• TV channel: ESPN
• Location: Kansas City, Missouri
• Arena: T-Mobile Center

Arizona vs. UCF Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Arizona win (83.6%)

Before making a wager on Thursday's Arizona-UCF spread (Arizona -16.5) or total (159.5 points), check out the betting trends and insights below.

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Arizona vs. UCF: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Arizona has compiled an 18-13-0 record against the spread this season.
• UCF is 15-16-0 ATS this season.
• The Wildcats sport a better record against the spread when playing at home (9-8-0) than they do on the road (5-5-0).
• In 2025-26 against the spread, the Knights have a lower winning percentage at home (.444, 8-10-0 record) than on the road (.500, 5-5-0).
• Arizona has 10 wins against the spread in 18 conference games this year.
• UCF is 9-10-0 against the spread in Big 12 action this year.

Arizona vs. UCF: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Arizona has come away with 19 wins in the 21 contests it has been listed as the moneyline favorite in this season.
• The Wildcats have yet to lose in five games when named as moneyline favorite of -1786 or better.
• UCF has gone 10-7 in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 58.8% of those games).
• The Knights have yet to play as a moneyline underdog of +920 or longer.
• Arizona has an implied victory probability of 94.7% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Arizona vs. UCF Head-to-Head Comparison

• Last year, Arizona was 16th-best in the nation offensively (82.5 points scored per game) and ranked 219th on defense (73.3 points allowed).
• On the boards, Arizona was 14th-best in the country in rebounds (36.4 per game) last year. It was 38th in rebounds allowed (28.6 per game).
• Arizona was 32nd in college basketball in assists (16.2 per game) last year.
• At 11.2 turnovers committed per game and 10.9 turnovers forced last year, Arizona was 186th and 215th in the country, respectively.
• UCF's defensive performance was 10th-worst in college basketball last year with 80.4 points allowed per contest, but offensively it played better, scoring 79.8 points per game (43rd-ranked in college basketball).
• UCF ranked 119th in the country with 33 boards per game, but it allowed 34.9 rebounds per game, which ranked 12th-worst in college basketball.
• Last year UCF ranked 148th in college basketball in assists, dishing out 13.9 per game.
• UCF ranked 254th in the country with 11.9 turnovers per game last season. Meanwhile, it ranked 79th with 12.4 forced turnovers per contest.

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