Alabama vs LSU College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Feb. 21

The LSU Tigers (14-12, 2-11 SEC) will host the Alabama Crimson Tide (19-7, 9-4 SEC) after losing three home games in a row.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Alabama vs. LSU Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Saturday, February 21, 2026
• Game time: 6 p.m. ET
• TV channel: SEC Network
• Location: Baton Rouge, Louisiana
• Arena: Pete Maravich Assembly Center

Alabama vs. LSU Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Alabama win (61%)

To help you make an informed wager on Alabama-LSU outing (in which Alabama is a 7.5-point favorite and the total is set at 172.5 points), keep reading for a few betting trends and insights for Saturday's game.

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Alabama vs. LSU: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Alabama is 11-15-0 ATS this season.
• LSU is 15-11-0 ATS this year.
• As a 7.5-point underdog or more in 2025-26, LSU is 4-1 against the spread compared to the 5-7 ATS record Alabama racks up as a 7.5-point favorite.
• At home, the Crimson Tide sport a worse record against the spread (4-9-0) compared to their ATS record in road games (4-3-0).
• This season, the Tigers are 6-8-0 at home against the spread (.429 winning percentage). Away, they are 7-1-0 ATS (.875).
• Against the spread, in conference play, Alabama is 5-8-0 this year.
• Against the spread in SEC action, LSU is 8-5-0 this year.

Alabama vs. LSU: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Alabama has been victorious in 14, or 82.4%, of the 17 contests it has been chosen as moneyline favorites in this season.
• This year, the Crimson Tide have won nine of 10 games when listed as at least -345 or better on the moneyline.
• LSU has been the moneyline underdog a total of 10 times this season, and it has lost each of those games.
• The Tigers have played in five games as a moneyline underdog with odds of +270 or longer without a win.
• Alabama has an implied victory probability of 77.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Alabama vs. LSU Head-to-Head Comparison

• Last season, Alabama was best in the country on offense (90.7 points scored per game) but third-worst defensively (81.3 points conceded).
• Last year, Alabama was third-best in the country in rebounds (38.8 per game) and 290th in rebounds allowed (33.0).
• With 17.1 assists per game, Alabama was 13th-best in the nation last year.
• At 12.1 turnovers committed per game and 10.0 turnovers forced last year, Alabama was 267th and 305th in the nation, respectively.
• With 73.8 points per game on offense, LSU was 179th in college basketball last season. At the other end of the court, it allowed 73.6 points per contest, which ranked 228th in college basketball.
• LSU, who ranked 156th in college basketball with 32.4 boards per game, allowed 34.4 rebounds per contest, which was 21st-worst in the nation.
• LSU dished out 12.8 assists per game, which ranked them 241st in college basketball.
• LSU committed 12.3 turnovers per game (288th-ranked in college basketball). It forced 11.2 turnovers per contest (184th-ranked).

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