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3 NFL Divisional Round Prop Bets for Houston Texans at Baltimore Ravens

Gabriel Santiago
Gabriel Santiago@gps_onthemic

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3 NFL Divisional Round Prop Bets for Houston Texans at Baltimore Ravens

It's now the Divisional Round, which is often considered the best weekend of the NFL season. Annually, it presents four contentious battles on the gridiron, setting the stage for the conference championships.

Utilizing numberFire's projections as a guide, here are some NFL player props bets that look appealing.

Please note that betting lines and numberFire's game projections may change throughout the day after this article is published. All betting numbers come from the NFL odds at FanDuel Sportsbook.

Houston Texans at Baltimore Ravens: Spread, Moneyline and Total

  • Spread: Ravens -9.5
  • Moneyline:
    • Houston +385
    • Baltimore -500
  • Total: 43.5

Houston Texans-Baltimore Ravens Overview

A rematch from Week 1, the Houston Texans (10-7) will head back to Maryland for a postseason rumble with the Baltimore Ravens (13-4). As winners of the AFC South and AFC North, respectively, both of these rosters showcase dynamic talent.

Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson produced another brilliant campaign, likely earning his second league MVP award. Through 16 contests, Jackson guided Baltimore to the NFL's top record behind a personal-best passing mark of 3,678 yards (along with 821 more on the ground). Collectively, his 4,449 all-purpose yards are his highest through any single season.

Houston rookie signal-caller C.J. Stroud will make his Divisional Playoff debut at the same venue where he made his NFL debut: "The Bank" in B-More. Candidly, that Week 1 meeting was Stroud's roughest of the year, as he was sacked five times in a 25-9 loss. Since then, the rook from Ohio State has thrived, sporting a 23-5 TD-INT ratio -- he'll almost certainly be named offensive ROY.

On defense, the Ravens were the strongest team in football this past season, allowing only 16.5 PPG. Still, they will be missing one of their leaders this week in cornerback Marlon Humphrey (calf). However, All-Pro safety Kyle Hamilton (4 INT, 13 PD) will be there patrolling the airways. In the middle of the field, backers Roquan Smith and Patrick Queen combined for 291 total tackles in 2023. As always, the group is fully behind head coach John Harbaugh.

The Texans made major improvements on defense from last year to this. In only one season, Houston went from surrendering 24.7 PPG to just 20.8 PPG -- good enough for 11th in the league in 2023. Naturally, first-time head coach (and former NFL linebacker) DeMeco Ryans has raised the standard. Jonathan Greenard and rookie Will Anderson make for a fierce pass-rushing tandem, compiling 19.5 sacks between the two. On the outside, corner Will Stingley Jr. is sticky in coverage.

So, as the first game of the Divisional Round, what should we expect Saturday afternoon in Baltimore? On Thursday, Houston reflects as a 9.5-point road underdog at FanDuel Sportsbook.

Houston Texans at Baltimore Ravens: Prop Bets

C.J. Stroud Under 238.5 Passing Yards (-114)

As noted, Stroud has been masterful in 2023, even setting an NFL single-game rookie record with 470 passing yards back in Week 9. However, his upcoming matchup against Baltimore's defense will be stiff competition.

At numberFire, "the Flock" has the top-rated passing defense of all 32 franchises. The Ravens allowed a league-best 5.9 yards per passing attempt. Larger scale, Baltimore surrendered only 218.6 passing yards per game (YPG) in 2023, which was the seventh-stingiest clip. From there, the group's 18 interceptions was tied for third in the NFL this past campaign.

The looming weather at M&T Bank Stadium on Saturday is forecasted to be frigid, which tends to slow down explosive plays and scoring. That checks out considering this contest has the lowest combined total of the week at 43.5 points (-110/-110).

So, going against an elite unit, and understanding that the football will be heavy in freezing temperatures, I believe Stroud will fall short of his 238.5 passing prop. I don't doubt the kid's abilities, but I see this game being played at a slower tempo.

Final note here: this prop fell two points from 240.5 to 238.5 by Thursday evening -- get it while you can!

Zay Flowers Over 47.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

Another rookie, Boston College's all-time leading receiver has navigated the NFL transition with poise and precision. In 16 games with Baltimore, speedy wideout Zay Flowers caught 77 balls (fourth among rooks) at a clip of 11.1 yards per reception. Undoubtedly, Flowers has earned the "big truss" of his MVP quarterback.

In 2023, Flowers yielded a 23.6% target rate from Jackson, which paced the team. Also, Flowers' figure in that category was noticeably higher than that of veterans Odell Beckham and Mark Andrews (with the latter still working back from an ankle injury).

At just 5-foot-9, Flowers specializes in speed and elusiveness. Genuinely, he has the sort of burst and athleticism that can cash this prop of over 47.5 receiving yards (-114 odds) on any one offensive snap.

Flowers' longest play of the season was a 75-yard touchdown reception that came against the Miami Dolphins on New Year's Eve. From there, he was tied for 10th in the NFL (and first among rookies) in receptions of 40+ yards -- let's look out for "big play" Zay this weekend.

Justin Tucker Over 7.5 Total Kicking Points (-120)

Truly, it is not often that I pursue props on special teams, but when it applies to this generation's best kicker, it might be wise to explore the market.

Alas, an intriguing wager on Baltimore's Justin Tucker has attracted my attention. Given the specific on-field matchup between the Ravens and Texans along with the brisk playing environment, the kicking game should be a prevalent factor. Simply, I believe Tucker will be in an advantageous spot to score over 7.5 kicking points (-120 odds at FanDuel Sportsbook).

Through a dozen NFL seasons, Tucker has accumulated a razor-sharp 90.2% conversion rate on 438 lifetime field goal attempts. In 2023, the Texas alum led Baltimore in total scoring with 147 points (51 XP and 32 FG) -- that equates to an average of 8.6 kicking points per game.

Given his role, there are countless scenarios for Tucker to cash this kicking prop. Ideally, three field goals on Saturday gives us a winning ticket here, but two FGs with two extra points also works just fine. However, I think it will be key for Tucker to make more than one three-pointer in this bid.

Recently, the five-time First-Team All-Pro kicker has converted multiple field goals in six of Baltimore's past nine games. In a Divisional Round bid with inclement passing conditions, I see the Ravens utilizing Tucker to the fullest.

Speaking of kickers, keep an eye out for FanDuel Sportsbook's Oh My FG! Specials this week. If you're a fan of lengthy field goals, the market of "A 55+ Yard FG to be scored in the Divisional Round" is paying out at +105 odds -- yes, this cashes if any kicker converts a FG from 55 yards or longer.


If you're betting on any of Saturday, January 20th's NFL playoff action, you can take advantage of FanDuel Sportsbook's NFL No-Sweat Same Game Parlay. See the promotions page for more information.

Looking for the latest NFL odds? Head over to FanDuel Sportsbook and check out all of the NFL betting options.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.

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