3 NBA Star Player Prop Bets for Tuesday 2/6/24

Player props are a fun way to get involved with the NBA each night, especially when it comes to the game's elite players.

That's what we'll focus on here -- prop bets for the NBA's best players via FanDuel Sportsbook's NBA Star Player Props.

Using FanDuel Research's daily basketball projections -- which are powered by numberFire -- as a guide, here are some NBA player prop bets that look appealing via the NBA odds at FanDuel Sportsbook.

Please note lines are subject to change throughout the day after this article is published.

NBA Prop Picks

DeMar DeRozan Over 3.5 Rebounds (-152)

These odds on DeMar DeRozan's rebounding prop may not seem exciting, but the market is giving us a better deal than we deserve.

The -152 odds suggest a 60.3% probability for the over to hit. But on the season, DeRozan is recording over 3.5 rebounds at a 64.6% rate (31 out of 48 games).

Zach LaVine (foot) has missed extended time for the Chicago Bulls and will be out for the remainder of the year. In 24 LaVine-less games this season, DeRozan is grabbing over 3.5 boards at a 70.8% clip (17 out of 24 games).

Patrick Williams (foot) will also be out for Chicago tonight. DeRozan has played in four contests without both LaVine and Williams -- he exceeded 3.5 boards in all but one of these games.

Add in that Alex Caruso (left adductor strain) comes into the night with a questionable designation, and the rebounding opportunities for DeRozan seem ample.

LaVine, Williams, and Caruso see a combined 23.9 rebound chances per game. The Bulls will obviously need to fill in these gaps by rolling with more of their bench players, so the additional rebound chances won't be handed to DeRozan. But a lack of team depth never hurts a player's potential output.

DeRozan and the Bulls will go up against a solid and lengthy Minnesota Timberwolves team.

On the season, the T-Wolves are surrendering the fewest rebounds per game. However, in their last 15 contests, they've been allowing opposing small forwards to grab the second-most boards.

DeRozan sees 7.9 rebound chances each game, so I have a hard time considering anything but the over for this prop.

Tyrese Haliburton Over 13.5 Points (-118)

Tyrese Haliburton is averaging 22.6 points per game and has surpassed 13.5 points in 86.8% of his games this season, but that doesn't mean much when considering he is dealing with a hamstring injury in tandem with an injury management-based minutes restriction.

However, despite the court time restriction, I still think siding with Hali is the way to go tonight.

Haliburton has been back in the Indiana Pacers lineup for four games. In this span, he has been playing 21.5 minutes and scoring 14.8 points per night.

There has been no indication that the injury management restriction will be lifted in tonight's game against the Houston Rockets, but it seems we can, at the very least, trust Hali to see 20-22 minutes on the court. I think this will leave enough time for Indiana's standout to exceed 13.5 points.

Here is how Hali's scoring production has looked since returning to Indiana's lineup: 13 points, 15 points, 14 points, and 17 points. He scored over 13.5 points in all but one of these games, which he missed by the hook.

The Rockets should offer Hali a friendly enough matchup, too. Houston surrenders the ninth-most three-point attempts and third-most free-throw attempts to guards per 36 minutes. Hali nets a combined 51.7% of his points from these areas.

In a December matchup between these two squads, Haliburton went off, ending the game with 33 points. He scored 0.87 points per minute in this game. Theoretically, a similar performance adjusted for Hali's recent 21.5 minutes per game would have ended in an 18.7-point outing.

Under normal circumstances, I would stay off a prop that featured a player who was dealing with an injury-based minute restriction. But Hali's scoring production, notwithstanding the cut to this minutes, has been up to snuff for the over at 13.5 points.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Under 6.5 Assists (+116)

If you're looking to target an under or an NBA player prop that features plus-odds, then Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's assist prop might be the best option on the board.

The +116 odds on the under imply a 46.3% probability, but SGA has actually recorded under 6.5 assists in 57.1% of his games this season.

SGA and the Oklahoma City Thunder will visit the Utah Jazz tonight. This game gives us a 239.5 over/under, but I think Utah could prove to be a bit more limiting, at least as OKC and SGA's assist numbers are concerned.

When playing at home, the Jazz are surrendering the second-most free-throw attempts in the league. OKC could make a living at the foul line in this one, which would amp up the amount of unassisted Thunder points.

And, while Utah has a tendency to send opponents to the free-throw line when playing at home, they do force competitors into worse-than-normal shooting numbers when playing on their home turf.

On the season, the Jazz let opponents shoot the ball at the 11th-best clip in the league. But when playing at home, Utah is holding teams to the 10th-worst field goal percentage.

The Thunder are draining the second-most field goal attempts per game, but SGA is still managing to record less than 6.5 assists on a somewhat consistent basis. Add in an away matchup that could force the Thunder into tougher looks, and I'll side with the plus-money odds.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.