3 NBA Star Player Prop Bets for Thursday 2/22/24

Player props are a fun way to get involved with the NBA each night, especially when it comes to the game's elite players.

That's what we'll focus on here -- prop bets for the NBA's best players via FanDuel Sportsbook's NBA Star Player Props.

Using FanDuel Research's daily basketball projections -- which are powered by numberFire -- as a guide, here are some NBA player prop bets that look appealing via the NBA odds at FanDuel Sportsbook.

Please note: lines and projections are subject to change throughout the day after this article is published.

NBA Prop Picks

Tyrese Haliburton Over 20.5 Points (-110)

After a pair of 34-minute outings prior to the All-Star break, it seems Tyrese Haliburton's injury-induced minutes restriction has been lifted, which means we could be getting an awesome deal on his points prop today.

On the season, Haliburton is averaging 21.8 points per game.

He has exceeded 20.5 points in 53.5% of his games, which is a bit higher than the 52.3% implied probability for this prop at -110 odds.

As mentioned, Hali was operating under a minutes restriction earlier this month. He played quite a bit during the All-Star game this past Sunday, so it seems he is primed to return to a full workload tonight. If we take out the games in which Hali played fewer than 27 minutes, he is clearing 20.5 points at a 60.5% rate.

The value on this prop is solid, regardless of the matchup. But it just so happens that Hali will be granted a date with the worst team in basketball, the Detroit Pistons.

Detroit surrenders the second-most points per game to point guards. They're letting up the fifth-most paint points, which is where Haliburton accumulates 31.1% of his points.

The Pistons are also giving up more free-throw attempts than any other team in the Association, so we could see Haliburton live at the foul line in this one.

Add in that the Indiana Pacers have a slate-high 129.5-point implied team total today, and it's hard not to love Haliburton's potential for a big scoring night.

Victor Wembanyama Over 1.5 Made Threes (-130)

As usual for the guy who owns -600 odds to win Rookie of the Year, Victor Wembanyama should have a pair of threes in him tonight.

The -130 odds for this prop leave us with a 56.5% implied probability. In contrast, Wembanyama has drained over 1.5 threes in 61.2% of his games this season (30 of 49 games).

Zooming in to a more recent sample size, things look even better. Wemby has hit multiple threes in 18 of his last 23 games (78.3% of contests).

He's in store for a friendly matchup, too. The Sacramento Kings surrender the eighth-most three-point makes (3PM) in the NBA. Additionally, over their last 15 games, the Kings have let up the fifth-most 3PM in the league.

Wemby shoots 78.4% of his three-point attempts from the 25-to-29 foot range, and the Kings are letting opponents shoot the ball at a league-high percentage from this range.

I'm happy to side with Wemby nailing at least two three-pointers for his ninth straight road game.

Nikola Jokic Under 9.5 Assists (-134)

The Washington Wizards (9-45) will visit the Denver Nuggets (36-19) tonight, and this game could get out of hand fast.

Washington's abysmal record speaks for itself while Denver's 21-5 mark at home is good for the second-best clip in the league.

FanDuel Sportsbook has the Nuggets favored by 15.0 points, so this game reeks of blowout potential. This leads me to a Nikola Jokic under.

Jokic is averaging 8.9 assists per game. He has recorded under 9.5 assists in 64.2% of his games. The market is giving this under just a 57.3% probability at these -134 odds.

But beyond the contrast between the hit rate on the under and the odds here, I'm quite interested in how Jokic has fared against teams that are in similar standing as the Wizards.

Washington owns the fourth-worst defensive rating in the league. Jokic has dished out fewer than 9.5 dimes in 15 out of 21 games that were against teams that rank in the bottom 12 of defensive rating.

The correlation between Jokic's low assist output and a matchup against a bad defense is strong, and it doesn't seem arbitrary.

A bad defense means better and more shooting looks for Denver's star, which, in turn, decreases his assist opportunities. Plus, a poor defense typically doesn't stand much of a chance against the Nuggets, which means Jokic and the other starters on this team could be on the bench for more fourth-quarter time than usual.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.