3 NBA Player Prop Bets for Friday 1/12/24

Player props can be useful in a variety of ways -- from taking advantage of them straight up to measuring a player's potential to produce in daily fantasy basketball on FanDuel. Here, we're going to focus on the former.

Using a wealth of statistical data, including numberFire's daily basketball projections, here are some NBA player prop bets that look appealing via the NBA odds at FanDuel Sportsbook.

Please note lines are subject to change throughout the day after this article is published.

NBA Prop Bets

Karl-Anthony Towns Under 32.5 Pts + Reb (-106)

Karl-Anthony Towns is averaging 30.8 combined points and rebounds (PR) and has eclipsed 32.5 PR in just 14 of his 36 games this season, giving the under at this line a 61.1% hit rate.

Tonight, he'll go up against the Portland Trail Blazers, a team that is pretty middle-of-the-pack against centers. Portland is giving up the 14th-most points and rebounds to centers this season. Now, Deandre Ayton (knee) has been out for the Blazers since late December, and since then, Portland has allowed centers to score the 10th-most points and grab the 11th-most boards.

Ayton could return tonight, giving KAT a more difficult matchup, but even if he can't suit up, I still am keen on targeting this under.

The Minnesota Timberwolves are favored by a slate-high 16.0 points tonight. This makes all the sense in the world, given that Minnesota currently sits atop the Western Conference standings and Portland has the second-worst record in the West.

Add in that the Blazers could be without Malcolm Brogdon and Shaedon Sharpe, and this game looks like it could get out of hand fast. Last night, the NBA was penned as the "National Blowout Association" after a slew of large victories. Portland wasn't spared from this, losing last night's game to the Oklahoma City Thunder by an unreal 62 points. All Thunder starters were held to 23 minutes or fewer.

Based on this, we shouldn't be surprised if KAT sees an early exit due to a blowout-based minutes restriction.

But even if the short-staffed Blazers manage to keep up with the red-hot T-Wolves tonight, I'll take solace in the fact that the implied probability on the under (51.46%) is not as high as the hit rate (61.1%).

Russell Westbrook Over 15.5 Pts + Reb + Ast (-120)

In his last six games, Russell Westbrook has been limited to just 13.9 combined points, rebounds, and assists (PRA) off of 17.8 minutes.

However, since coming off the bench for the Los Angeles Clippers, Westbrook is averaging 19.4 PRA per game. The Clippers should have the upper hand on a Memphis Grizzlies team that is now without both Ja Morant and Marcus Smart, which means Westbrook could be granted more floor time.

numberFire projects Westbrook to net 18.0 PRA off of 20.88 minutes tonight. While the PRA projection is encouraging, I'm more interested in Westbrook's minutes potential.

This season, Westbrook is averaging 19.5 PRA per 20.88 minutes. And in two matchups against Memphis this season, Westbrook has recorded a total of 52 PRA in 51 minutes, which would bring him up to 21.3 PRA per 20.88 minutes.

Memphis allows the 11th-most points, sixth-most assists, and most rebounds to point guards per game. Based on this, it's pretty clear why a player as efficient as Westbrook has racked up such sizable PRA against the Grizzlies this season. Plus, Smart's absence on defense should ensure an even smoother matchup for Westbrook.

Klay Thompson Over 3.5 Made Threes (+104)

The Golden State Warriors are a total and utter wreck, but that won't stop Klay Thompson from getting busy from downtown.

Thompson is averaging 3.2 three-point makes (3PM) per game, but a matchup against the Chicago Bulls should have him punching above his average.

The Bulls allow the third-most three-point attempts (3PA) and the fifth-most 3PM per game. This should be quite inviting to a Warriors team that is shooting 40.1 threes per game (fourth-most in the NBA), but none more than Thompson.

Chicago surrenders more 3PM to shooting guards than any other team in the league. And though the Bulls give up only the 13th-most 3PM from above the break, they give up the most corner threes in the league, and Thompson leads all Warrior players in 3PA from the corner.

Following a fair share of media slamming and some interesting comments from Stephen Curry, Thompson has much to prove and could come out firing tonight. He's got a great matchup to do just that, and numberFire is projecting him to drain 4.0 threes.

If you're bullish on this prop, I'd check out Thompson 5+ Made Threes at +230 and Thompson 6+ Made Threes at +550. He played in one game against the Bulls last season and made eight threes. And though we could classify the following data as a bit outdated, he has drained at least five three-pointers in five of his last six matchups against Chicago, averaging 7.3 3PM in that span.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.